Electricity is an increasingly complex industry in the midst of transition to renewables and decarbonization. Using my 25 years’ experience as an engineer, policy analyst, and academic, I help my consulting clients think through their toughest technical challenges and formulate their best business strategies.

Posted in consulting | Tagged | Leave a comment

Pathways to decarbonization: ZECs, DERs, and inertia

Ross Baldick Consulting

Brad Jones (left) and Ross Baldick at the Austin Electricity Conference.

Decarbonization was the theme of the seventh annual Austin Electricity Conference, held April 20 and 21 by the UT McCombs School of Business, Cockrell School of Engineering, LBJ School of Public Policy, and School of Law.

As the name implies, decarbonization entails shifting the fossil fuel mix toward less intense producers of carbon dioxide together with reduced reliance on fossil fuels for electric generation over time. Our questions: How to implement a zero-carbon grid from a legal and policy perspective? How to achieve it from a technical perspective?

It was my pleasure to introduce keynote speaker Brad Jones, who has been an electricity industry executive for more than three decades. I first began to know Brad closely when he was Vice President for Generation Development at TXU. We  disagreed on whether to implement the nodal market, and I remember his graciousness and intelligence during that debate. He then became Vice President for Government Affairs at Luminant, the successor generation firm of TXU. He joined ERCOT as COO in 2013 and in 2015 became President and CEO of the New York ISO (NYISO), which operates the state’s wholesale electricity market and is responsible for its bulk electric system reliability.

Lower carbon dioxide emissions, green technology, and renewables, Jones said, have become front and center in New York, even making it into the headlines of The New York Times. At the NYISO, priorities include decarbonization, integration of high levels of renewables, and creating a two-way grid. The state is introducing a requirement for electrical load-serving entities to purchase zero emissions credits (ZECs) in proportion to their statewide load, with proceeds going to eligible nuclear power plants. This provides market-compatible support for nuclear generators that values their zero carbon emissions, complementing analogous schemes for renewable resources. He emphasized that ZECs are designed to be a bridge to the future, and that New York is not expecting that ZECs will be needed forever. The state, in other words, is acknowledging the social cost of carbon.

Jones also discussed distributed energy resources (DERs). We need, he said, to value the contributions of DERs, by: 1) facilitating compensation through transparent pricing and metering, and 2) offering financial credit for reducing the load on distribution systems.

Jones concluded by emphasizing the need to internalize a carbon price into the wholesale market. That price will help to do two things. First, to guide operational decisions toward existing low-carbon resources. Second, to guide capital decisions — such as building more low-carbon generation in New York and building new transmission to bring Canadian hydro power to the state.

RossBaldick.com

Brad Jones (left) and Ross Baldick at the Austin Electricity Conference.

On my panel, “Managing the Decarbonized Grid,” we discussed the technical challenges of operating an electricity grid with low or zero emissions. I emphasized that these challenges depend on the mix of resources used. (Click here to download my introduction and the panelists’ introductory remarks.)

For example, our main path to decarbonization in recent years has involved renewable resources such as wind and solar, which are generally connected to the grid via power electronic converters. Power electronics interfaces have a crucial difference with traditional grid-connected rotating machinery in that they do not “natively” provide inertia. Inertia has been essential in the control of the electricity system since its inception, because it enables stable synchronization of the electric waveforms in the grid and serves to limit the rapidity of changes after a disturbance. In order to decarbonize with renewables, we need to deal with this reduction or elimination of inertia.

One solution is to utilize the renewable resources to “synthesize” inertia using the flexibility of their power electronic converters; however, the drawback here is that some of the renewable production is sacrificed. A second solution, being developed and tested by panelist Brian Johnson of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory in Golden, Colorado, explores controls for power electronic converters that do not rely on inertia to provide synchronization.

Click here to access all four of the conference panels.

Posted in presentations | Tagged | Leave a comment

John Goodenough, batteries, and steam trains

Ross Baldick Consulting

John Goodenough

My wife and I often enjoy BBC documentaries, and historian Dan Snow is a favorite host.  In his series about the history of railways in England, he observed that, as the industrial revolution increased manufacturing in England, there was a need to move product around more cheaply, which in turn encouraged transportation innovations such as the steam train.

In a previous post, I’ve talked about the fraught nature of technical predictions. The same applies to predictions about costs, but the history of railways suggests that invention will be applied to reduce the costs of parts of the supply chain that are growing relatively more significant. For example, as relative costs reduce for any one particular contributor to electricity production, attention turns to bringing down the costs of other components.

In the context of renewables, we have seen ongoing reduction in the cost of wind and solar. To support the utilization of that energy, various ancillary services are required, including “regulation ancillary service.” If you had asked me a decade ago about renewable integration, I would have predicted that regulation ancillary service would become an increasingly significant part of the cost of renewable integration. However, in recent work  with Juan Andrade and Yingzhang Dong, we investigated why, in fact, the amounts (and costs) of regulation ancillary service have not increased in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), despite a huge increase in renewable penetration.

The fundamental answer is that there have been a multitude of changes to the ERCOT market design that has allowed the generation capacity for regulation to be utilized more effectively. The biggest change was the move from the zonal to the nodal market, but other changes have also contributed. These changes have enabled significantly more wind power to be utilized without increasing the cost of regulation ancillary service needed.

As with locomotives and manufacturing, as the need and costs of ancillary services seemed to be looming larger, imagination and innovation have resulted in better ways to utilize ancillary services to complement the production of renewable energy.

As many of the contributors to costs of renewables decrease, the issue of intermittency and the need for storage becomes more significant. Battery storage is currently too high-cost for bulk storage. But John Goodenough, inventor of the lithium-ion battery and my colleague in mechanical engineering, has recently published a paper describing a solid-state lithium-ion battery that may significantly improve the economics of battery storage. Lower cost batteries may be the new locomotive of renewable development.

Posted in commentary, research | Tagged , | Leave a comment

“Smart Grid” highlights

Guest lecturer Andres Carvallo (L) and Ross Baldick. Photo by Hunyoung Shin.

Guest lecturer Andres Carvallo (L) and Ross Baldick. Photo by Hunyoung Shin.

My “Smart Grid” course continues apace. Highlights have included lectures by Andres Carvallo on the architecture of the grid, and several lectures on existing and upcoming “smarts” at the wholesale generation and transmission level, including wholesale operations by Dave Maggio, new transmission technologies by Brad Bell, and human factors by Mike Leggatt.

Guest lecturer Scott Hinson (L) and Ross Baldick. Photo by Hunyoung Shin.

Guest lecturer Scott Hinson (L) and Ross Baldick. Photo by Hunyoung Shin.

The class has now shifted to topics at the heart of the “conventional” smart grid, namely distribution and end use, including smart grid ecosystem analysis by Ingmar Sterzing and residential power quality by Scott Hinson. Oh, and yes, we just had a midterm.

To access any of the lectures to date, click here.

Posted in education | Tagged | Leave a comment

“Smart Grids” course features industry experts

Ross Baldick Consulting

Dr. Ross Baldick hosts industry experts for his new UT course, “Smart Grids.”

I’ve been in the thick of it recently, putting the finishing touches on a new course I’ve designed about smart grids for my students at UT Austin. “Smart Grids” begins in less than two weeks.

Back story: During more than a year of preparation, I could not find any text suitable for engineering students. That’s when I started enlisting the help of colleagues, who generously agreed to serve as the “text” for the course. Fortunately for us, we have a wealth of expertise in Austin and Texas. More than a dozen industry guests, including Brewster McCracken of Pecan Street and Bill Muston of Oncor, will lecture on topics from generation and transmission to end-use. We will be asking: What is a smart grid? What does a self-healing grid mean? What are the costs and benefits of a smart grid?

Each lecturer has assembled slides, and each one will be made publicly available on the course webpage: http://users.ece.utexas.edu/~baldick/classes/379K/EE379K.html

So far, the webpage features only my course introduction, but you can see the topic headings laid out for the whole semester. You’re invited to check back for the slide presentations as they become available throughout the semester.

Posted in commentary | Tagged , , | Leave a comment